Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.194309 0.219351 0.245840 0.275890 0.308975 0.344233 0.384590
2025-06-29 0.159359 0.192858 0.230329 0.275154 0.327112 0.385229 0.454931
2025-07-06 0.134474 0.172939 0.218096 0.274604 0.342970 0.422534 0.521623
2025-07-13 0.117378 0.159385 0.210857 0.277845 0.361926 0.463117 0.593168
2025-07-20 0.105694 0.150713 0.208022 0.285227 0.385273 0.509190 0.672753
2025-07-27 0.094144 0.140627 0.201969 0.287303 0.401173 0.545950 0.741690
2025-08-03 0.085997 0.134044 0.199559 0.293367 0.421851 0.589009 0.819795
2025-08-10 0.079671 0.129202 0.198812 0.301149 0.444659 0.635262 0.903372
2025-08-17 0.071393 0.120576 0.191856 0.299470 0.453976 0.663419 0.963483
2025-08-24 0.064622 0.113460 0.186338 0.299146 0.464699 0.693393 1.026600
2025-08-31 0.058546 0.106767 0.180791 0.298158 0.474038 0.721377 1.087495
2025-09-07 0.054881 0.103550 0.180173 0.304268 0.493669 0.764197 1.170165
2025-09-14 0.049958 0.097912 0.175555 0.304268 0.504684 0.795810 1.239187
2025-09-21 0.045500 0.092605 0.171010 0.303983 0.515083 0.826747 1.308160
2025-09-28 0.041511 0.087698 0.166688 0.303658 0.525210 0.857436 1.377581
2025-10-05 0.038638 0.084512 0.164963 0.307332 0.541573 0.897811 1.462368
2025-10-12 0.036761 0.082996 0.165944 0.315447 0.565199 0.949816 1.565937
2025-10-19 0.034140 0.079759 0.163623 0.317750 0.579404 0.987694 1.649143
2025-10-26 0.032378 0.078039 0.163860 0.324373 0.600825 1.037294 1.751490
2025-11-02 0.031002 0.076962 0.165162 0.332853 0.625559 1.092731 1.864232
2025-11-09 0.028408 0.073047 0.160850 0.331033 0.632773 1.120480 1.934518
2025-11-16 0.026227 0.069777 0.157498 0.330683 0.642344 1.152126 2.011589
2025-11-23 0.024156 0.066518 0.153901 0.329611 0.650496 1.181563 2.085761